Geometric Brownian Motion Based on Stochastic Differential Equation Modeling Considering the Change Point Estimation for the Fluctuation of the Turkish Lira Against the US Dollar

dc.contributor.author Erdogan, Fevzi
dc.contributor.author Çalıkuşu, Sevda Özdemir
dc.contributor.author İnce, Nihal
dc.date.accessioned 2025-11-30T19:19:51Z
dc.date.available 2025-11-30T19:19:51Z
dc.date.issued 2025
dc.department T.C. Van Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi en_US
dc.department-temp Van Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi,Van Yüzüncü Yıl Üniversitesi,Eskişehir Teknik Üniversitesi en_US
dc.description.abstract In this study, the data showing the fluctuation of the Turkish Lira (TL) against the US Dollar (USD) between 19.06.2017 and 19.06.2022 were examined with Geometric Brownian Motion Stochastic Differential Equation Modeling (GBM SDEM). The study aims to get the GBM stochastic differential equation that best fits USD/TL data by considering the change point estimation (CP). Considering CP when working with abruptly changing datasets has a positive effect on the performance of the constructed model. In addition, there may be more than one CP in the data set, and as the number of CP increases, more suitable models can be obtained for the dataset. The results are supported by graphs that show the proposed SDE model fits the dataset. en_US
dc.identifier.doi 10.33187/jmsm.1643023
dc.identifier.endpage 85 en_US
dc.identifier.issn 2636-8692
dc.identifier.issue 2 en_US
dc.identifier.scopusquality N/A
dc.identifier.startpage 75 en_US
dc.identifier.trdizinid 1337627
dc.identifier.uri https://doi.org/10.33187/jmsm.1643023
dc.identifier.uri https://search.trdizin.gov.tr/en/yayin/detay/1337627/geometric-brownian-motion-based-on-stochastic-differential-equation-modeling-considering-the-change-point-estimation-for-the-fluctuation-of-the-turkish-lira-against-the-us-dollar
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14720/29139
dc.identifier.volume 8 en_US
dc.identifier.wosquality N/A
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.relation.ispartof Journal of Mathematical Sciences and Modelling (Online) en_US
dc.relation.publicationcategory Makale - Ulusal Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı en_US
dc.rights info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess en_US
dc.title Geometric Brownian Motion Based on Stochastic Differential Equation Modeling Considering the Change Point Estimation for the Fluctuation of the Turkish Lira Against the US Dollar en_US
dc.type Article en_US
dspace.entity.type Publication

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