Improving of Global Solar Radiation Forecast by Comparing Other Meteorological Parameter Models With Sunshine Duration Models

Abstract

The aim of this study is to compare sunshine duration-based models and the other meteorological parameter-based models and to develop new forecasting models. The estimation and comparison of global solar radiation has been made by using twenty-four empirical models including three new models for different location named Arbil, Dohuk, and Sulaimania of Northern Iraq. The reason of using these different locations is to test the accuracy of the other meteorological parameter models by comparing the sunshine duration models for different region. Mostly common statistical error values are used to evaluate the performance of the estimation models and to identify the models that will give the closest results to the actual values. According to the results, it was seen that the models based on other meteorological parameters have better predictions than the models based on the sunshine duration. While the R-2 value of the best models depending on the sunshine duration ranged from 0.97 to 0.99, the R-2 values of the best models of other meteorological parameters are above 0.99. Furthermore, it is observed that the new proposed models provide better estimates of global solar radiation at different locations than all models used in this study.